Iran analysts carefully assess scenarios for talks with EU

The issue:

Analysts in Iran are cautiously optimistic about upcoming talks with the UK, France, and Germany regarding Iran’s nuclear program, scheduled for November 29. The dialogue follows a resolution by the IAEA criticizing Iran’s lack of transparency under the 2015 nuclear deal. While the U.S. will not participate, skepticism remains about the effectiveness of the talks, with some observers claiming European nations do not act independently of U.S. interests. The hardline daily Kayhan criticized the Iranian government for engaging in talks without a clear strategy and for overlooking European hostilities. The discussions are expected to cover a wide range of issues beyond the nuclear program. Meanwhile, former Majles Speaker Ali Larijani’s recent diplomatic efforts are seen as pivotal for reshaping Iran’s foreign relations, with calls for his return to a significant political role.

Insights:

Analysts express cautious optimism about the upcoming nuclear talks, emphasizing the need for clear objectives.

The talks follow a critical IAEA resolution, highlighting Iran’s transparency issues.

Skepticism exists regarding the independence of European nations in negotiations, suggesting alignment with U.S. policies.

The discussions may extend beyond the nuclear program, indicating a broader diplomatic agenda.

Former Majles Speaker Ali Larijani’s involvement is viewed as crucial for improving Iran’s foreign relations and negotiating strategy.

Questions Raised:

  • What is the context of the upcoming talks between Iran and European powers?

The talks are set against the backdrop of an IAEA resolution criticizing Iran’s transparency and adherence to the 2015 nuclear deal, with the aim of addressing the contentious nuclear program.

  • Why are some Iranian observers skeptical about the talks?

Observers, including former politicians, argue that European nations often align their decisions with U.S. interests, leading to doubts about the effectiveness of negotiations without clear objectives.

  • What role is Ali Larijani expected to play in Iran’s foreign policy?

Larijani is seen as a key figure in shaping Iran’s diplomatic efforts, with some advocating for his return to a significant political position to enhance foreign relations with the West.

  • How do hardline factions within Iran view the negotiations with Europe?

Hardline media express strong opposition to the talks, criticizing the government for perceived concessions and urging a more assertive stance against what they view as European hostility.

Opinion:

Iran is considered an open and impend enemy. But so far, it is Iran that shows restrain, that mostly barks and don’t bite… So perhaps there is a window for piece and stability that the “western experts” better take in to account.

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